
Originally Posted by
Celebrity Killing Spree
I think investigators, as in people who real world, day to day experience, understand that the simplest explanation is usually the right one.
Do a lot of people go missing every year in Alaska? Sure. But what's more logical and basic? They got lost in the wilderness or were alien abductees?
I think with inevstigators it's a matter of pragmatism. Evidence is of course is key, but theorists have a habit of interpreting evidence to support a wild conclusion which may be several logical steps removed. And they are almost always willing to accept lack of evidence as outright proof. Investigators don't make conclusions based on general assumptions of how the world works, they use years of experience and the advice and resources of colleagues in the top fields. They are also willing to admit they "don't know" when evidence is lacking instead of engaging in speculation.